Early predictors of students at risk of poor PANCE performance

Michelle Butina, Andrew R. Wyant, Randa Remer, Robert Cardom

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

15 Scopus citations


Purpose The purpose of this study was to identify early predictors in the physician assistant (PA) program curriculum that could be used to identify students “at risk” of failing the Physician Assistant National Certifying Examination (PANCE), allowing for early intervention. Previous literature implicates grades on foundational coursework as promising early predictors of PANCE performance. Methods Secondary data analyses were performed using student data from 2003 to 2014 school years in the PA program at a large university. Results Path analysis indicated that grades from foundational coursework were the strongest early predictors of PANCE performance, accounting for over half of the variance in PANCE performance. Conclusions Although admission criteria provide some indication of how a student might perform on the PANCE, foundational coursework is the best early predictor of PANCE performance based on this research. Remediation strategies may be most successful when targeting students who have difficulty in these classes during their first year.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)45-48
Number of pages4
JournalJournal of Physician Assistant Education
Issue number1
StatePublished - Mar 1 2017

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2017 Physician Assistant Education Association.

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Education
  • Medical Assisting and Transcription


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