Intercomparison of Six National Empirical Models for PM2.5 Air Pollution in the Contiguous US

Matthew J. Bechle, Michelle L. Bell, Daniel L. Goldberg, Steve Hankey, Tianjun Lu, Albert A. Presto, Allen L. Robinson, Joel Schwartz, Liuhua Shi, Yang Zhang, Julian D. Marshall

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

Empirical models aim to predict spatial variability in concentrations of outdoor air pollution. For year-2010 concentrations of PM2.5 in the US, we intercompared six national-scale empirical models, each generated by a different research group. Despite differences in methods and independent variables for the models, we find a relatively high degree of agreement among model predictions (e.g., correlations of 0.84 to 0.92, RMSD (root-mean-square-difference; units: μg/m3) of 0.8 to 1.4, or on average ~12% of the average concentration; many best-fit lines are near the 1:1 line).

Original languageEnglish
JournalTransport Findings
Volume2023
DOIs
StatePublished - 2023

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023, Findings Press. All rights reserved.

Funding

We gratefully acknowledge the funders. This publication was developed as part of the Center for Air, Climate, and Energy Solutions (CACES), which was supported under Assistance Agreement No. R835873 awarded by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) for an Air, Climate, and Energy (ACE) center. Additional funding was from the EPA for the SEARCH ACE Center (RD83587101) and the Harvard-MIT ACE center (RD83479801). This manuscript has not been formally reviewed by EPA. The views expressed here are solely those of authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Agency. EPA does not endorse any products or commercial services mentioned in this publication.

FundersFunder number
Center for Indoor Air Research
EPA Cephalosporin Fund
Texas Air Research CenterR835873
U.S. Environmental Protection AgencyRD83479801, RD83587101

    Keywords

    • Land use regression
    • air pollution
    • air quality models
    • empirical model comparison
    • environment
    • environmental findings
    • exposure assessment
    • gridded models
    • particulate matter
    • point-based models

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Civil and Structural Engineering
    • Transportation

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