Particle filter for tool wear prediction

Timely assessment and prediction of tool wear is essential to ensuring part quality, minimizing material waste, and contributing to sustainable manufacturing. This paper presents a probabilistic method based on particle filtering to account for uncertainty in the tool wear process. Tool wear state is predicted by recursively updating a physics-based tool wear rate model with online measurement, following a Bayesian inference scheme. For long term prediction in which online measurement is not available, regression analysis methods such as autoregressive model and support vector regression are investigated by incorporating predicted measurement into particle filter. The effectiveness of the developed method is demonstrated using experiments performed on a CNC milling machine.