Abstract
We investigate whether the effect of tax news depends on the state of the economy. Using U.S. quarterly data, we show that news about future tax cuts are more contractionary during recessions. This nonlinearity is mainly due to the response of durable consumption and, especially, nonresidential investment.
Original language | English |
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Article number | 110031 |
Journal | Economics Letters |
Volume | 207 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Oct 2021 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2021 Elsevier B.V.
Keywords
- Anticipated tax shocks
- Fiscal policy
- Policy foresight
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Finance
- Economics and Econometrics