Incidence, Predictors, and Outcomes of Early Atrial Arrhythmias After Lung Transplant: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Objectives This study sought to determine the incidence, predictors, and prognostic implications of early post-lung transplant atrial arrhythmias (AAs). Background Although frequently encountered, the prognostic implications of early AAs after lung transplant remain uncertain. Methods A systematic review of MEDLINE and the Cochrane Library was conducted for all studies that reported early post-lung transplant AAs. Random-effects DerSimonian-Laird risk ratios (RRs) were calculated for categorical variables and standardized mean difference (SMD) for continuous variables. Results A total of 12 studies with 3,203 patients (mean age 57 ± 3 years; 52% males) were included. The incidence of early post-lung transplant AAs during hospitalization was 26.6% at mean follow-up duration of 6.7 days. Predictors of post-lung transplant AAs included advanced age (SMD: 0.50; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.35 to 0.64), male gender (RR: 1.37; 95% CI: 1.28 to 1.47), history of smoking (RR: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.46), hypertension (RR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.13 to 1.59), hyperlipidemia (RR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.18 to 1.63), coronary artery disease (RR: 1.40; 95% CI: 1.12 to 1.7), left atrial diameter (SMD: 0.25; 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.44), and restrictive lung disease (RR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.13 to 1.59). Post-lung transplant AAs were associated with increased all-cause mortality (adjusted RR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.22 to 2.19) at mean follow-up of 27.8 months and length of hospital stay (36.5 ± 16.5 days vs. 26.1 ± 14.3 days; p < 0.001). Conclusions Early AAs post-lung transplant are associated with increased mortality and length of hospital stay. Advanced age, male sex, smoking, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, coronary artery disease, increased left atrial diameter, and restrictive lung disease are independent predictors of early AAs in post-lung transplant patients.